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XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION DEFINITION LINKBASE

XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION PRESENTATION LINKBASE

American International Group Inc

Announcement: AIG 8-K Special Filing

Admin

<p>Here's what is happening in the markets today, Wednesday, March 15</p>
<ul>
<li>Stocks sharply lower</li>
<li>Credit Suisse (CS) in trouble?</li>
<li>Oil prices lowest since Dec 2021</li>
<li>Today's focus: PPI Inflation Data</li>
<li>VIX (Fear Index) up 18%</li>
</ul>
<p>PLUS: How we trade these markets and our current positions</p>
<p>This wraps up today's stock market news.</p>
<p>If you enjoyed the "Stock Market Today" episode, make sure to subscribe to this podcast.</p>
<p>And for more stock market news, &nbsp;visit our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/rockwelltrading2008</p>
<p>#todaysstockmarket #stockmarkettoday #stockmarket</p>

In today's episode of the podcast, the following points were discussed:

- Credit Suisse faced a significant decline due to the need to clean up its books, causing a fall in the E-minis S&P future and dragging down the banking sector and stock prices.
- The all-important PPI report showed a surprise in its numbers, with retail sales and Empire State manufacturing index pointing to a softening of the economy.
- Interest rates remained a topic of conversation with the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates or not doing anything at all.
- The fear gauge, VIX, has attacked the 30-level again, sparking fear of a new financial crisis.
- The KRE and XLE indices are trading lower, leading to the possibility of trading with solid financial companies, such as AIG, BAC, or Capital One Finance.
- The host discussed his dividend payments from owning shares in Centennial Resource Development and oxy trade, and the asset correlation tool showed his exposure was not excessive.
- Google and PNC Financial Services Group were also discussed as positions the host owns.

📈 Will Credit Suisse Crash The Markets?

 All right, welcome to coffee with Marcus and Mark, the number one stock market show and spotify in one of the most popular market updates on YouTube as you can see today. I'm so low so Marcus not feeling too well, kind of got a cold nasty one. So anyhow, that's why it just us today and in this show, we're going to talk to you about what's happening in the markets and how we are trading it today is Wednesday, March 15th and there's a lot going on. Yesterday, all major indices closed higher and the doubt was snapping a five day losing street by today. Different picture. It seems that credit switches and trouble dragging down the banking sector and stocks as well as oil prices. I mean, they are now down at a low that we haven't seen since December 2021 and then we also had PPI inflation data coming out. So we got to see what the markets are doing and I want to show you how we are trading these markets. By the way, this is the first time here I'm Marcus hot color usually with me is my head coach Mark hot and can make it today anyhow, probably be back tomorrow. So I'm sorry, sure we are real traders who trade live accounts. So therefore we got a lot of trading experience and we're showing you how we trade these crazy markets. So trust me, we know our stuff and we're not afraid to tell you like it is. So if you're here looking for some honest insights into the fascinating role of trading you are in the right place and with that said. First before we talk about my position, so let's see of what's happening here in the markets and last week markets were rattled by the collapse of Silicon Valley bank sivb and then yesterday we had a rally for Ali. So yesterday all major indices positive. If you're looking here at the SMP 500, we were attacking the 200 day moving average again, it started to look good. Maybe we could pierce through it again, but then today a different story, the news broke from credit swiss a bank that has been in the headline for the past. I don't know how long look at this. I mean, it has been declining since February of 2021. Before yesterday, it was already down 82% and then they said, well, we have a little bit of clean up work to do in our books and then today one of their major money givers. How do you what do you call it? You get the idea right I said, well, we're not stepping in anymore and this is where massively down bouncing back a little bit today, but this is what was dragging the markets down if you're looking at a at a five minute chart of the E mean SMP futures. You see that actually after years today's rally, they were holding up really nicely, but then when the news broke from Europe about the credit swiss a possible collapse. I mean, is this the next month to fall or is this just a little bit that markets are overly nervous right now. Anyway, this is when we had a huge drop as you can see here, dropping down 2.2% in the E mean SMP opening lower. You'll see that right here, we had a little bit of action going on and this is when the all important PPI producer price index report was released. So let me just switch over here take a look at the economic calendar. So yesterday we already had CPI inflation data that's the consumer price index, which was coming in line with expectations declining months over months. So this is what the Fed wants to see and then today. A surprise in the producer price index. So the producer price index. First of all months over months, it was expected that these wholesale prices are rising 0.3%. They didn't do it. They were actually declining 0.1%. So when I looked into this and I wanted to know why that is and this where I found them is to see if I find it here quickly. No, but it was due to the price of X. Yes, X going massively down. So this contributed to this anyhow, that is a surprise. So also the core PPI, which is excluding energy here. Just coming in flat. So all of this is good news on the inflation front. However, we also see that core retail sales in line with expectations declining as well as the Empire State manufacturing index. So if we see all this, we see that the economy is not struggling, but it is softening here. So the question is, OK, what does the Fed do with interest rates? Because as you know, for the past few weeks and months, it has been all about interest rates. And I mean, right now we can refresh the CME Group Fed Watch tool pretty much hourly. And we see that right now, there's a 50 50% chance that the Fed is either not doing anything right now slightly favorite with 50 and a half percent versus that they're raising interest rates. And so we're raising interest rates by a quarter point, which right now the probability is at 49.5. And wow, what a difference a month makes because if you look here of what happened last month. I mean, this is where traders were factoring in an 80% probability just a week ago, not even a month just a week ago, an 80% probability that the Fed will race interest rates by half a percentage point. And this is completely off the table right now because this is where everybody says, OK, the Fed actually needs to keep an eye on how interest rates and the yield could be hurting banks because this is what happened when Silicon Valley bank collapsed. And this got caught in the yield together with the bank run, then they couldn't get out of their out of their positions quickly enough. And this is how this bank collapsed also looking at the probabilities right now. So it seems that traders are factoring in that the Fed will raise another quarter percentage point. But as you can see, it's not quite sure. Holding in the same as the same, keep it for the main meeting and then in June, start reducing interest rates to make sure that the financial sector here is OK. This also a massive change from what we have seen previously. And now all eyes will be on the Fed next week of what will they do and also what will Powell say. So if you look a little bit ahead at the economic calendar, the big one there next week will be the FOMC Fed funds rate together with the statement followed by the press conference. And that is exactly one week from now until then there's definitely volatility in the market. So before we look at my position, let's see of what's happening here. I'm going to switch over to a five minute chart of the S&P 500 right now. And you see we we open lower. We're trading lower until just a few minutes ago, bouncing off the lows right now. So let's see what's happening there. But if you take a look at the VIX, the fear gauge here, we see that it is attacking the 30 level again. I mean, over the past few days, crazy because we have been trading at a very dull around 20 going as low as 18. And if we just look at a weekly chart or a daily chart here, we see that it is kind of normal that every now and then it spikes to around 30 even going up to 40 and then comes all the way back. But recently we had a lot of fear in the markets, which has changed over the past few days. And this again, all attributed to what the heck will the Fed do with this new information because now the Fed needs to pivot again at least this is what traders investors are thinking. That's what we see right now factored into the crisis talking about the yield the yield the yield the yield the two year yield just last week was trading about 5% and now well below 4% as you can see at 3.8 so a massive plunge. A plunge that we haven't seen since the financial crisis in 2008 so does it mean that we have a new financial crisis of 2008 no it just means that interest rates were going a little bit too hot. And this is what we are seeing right now this is where the Fed has to take action and we can't wait to see what exactly they will do right now it's all speculation I envision that Paul is sitting there and just saying what do I do what do I do. Because again this is where right now it's all about how well they raise interest rates then also news from the crude oil from crude oil we haven't talked about crude oil in a while but if we look at a daily chart we know that with the invasion of Ukraine in March 2022 it went crazy so this was a year ago actually the invasion was earlier than that. So because we already had the very sad one year anniversary here I hope that this conflict gets resolved very very soon but this were crude oil went crazy going up to 130 and today as you can see trading at lows or prices that we haven't seen since December so needless to say that today for example we have a KRE that is the banking sector index. So as you can see this is still down trading lower as well as I believe it is a XLE which is the energy index right now down 4% so energy and bank stocks are down right now moving over to power ex optimizer to see what we can trade I mean first of all if we look at the scanner no surprise that the scanner is full of finance banking stocks. So AIG right now take a look at this there's a possibility that you can sell the 45 puts expiring in just a couple of days from now and AIG recently trading at 61 so if you're looking for picking up a solid financial companies whether you're looking at AIG BAC in your portfolio bank of America here trading just recently around 34 now you can sell the 26 put so city group here the same capital one finance I mean capital one finance trading just last week at 108 right now you can sell the 85 put so as you can see it's pretty much pick your poison all of these are solid companies because the way how I've set my scanner here is I click it can change this and say I want to see companies that are paying dividends where the market cab is above $2 billion and the PE ratio look at this I even said it of lower than 10 look at this and still we have 29 companies popping up on the scanner here so lots of possibilities and this where let's take a look at our positions that we have right now and we'll start with CTRA and Gali I mean CTRA I got assigned at 26 as you can see my break even as at 24 or 6 yesterday trading as high as I can see trading as high as 2540 today with oil prices tumbling to a multi months low again we haven't seen these low since December oil stocks energy stocks are hurting in addition CTRA today paid dividends of 57 cents and I will collect this dividend because I still do own CTRA shares so I have those let's just hop over here to the calculator really quick so I have 50 400 shares let's just bring up a calculator so this will be pretty nice because on 5400 shares I'm getting paid a dividend of 57 cents that did not work at all 55400 times 0.57 so this will be a $3,078 that I'll receive in a couple of weeks anyhow so because of the dividend this were also the stock typically is the stock price is reduced by the dividend payment so 50 cents drop 57 cent drop would be normal right now the drop is $1.76 and again this is by weakness in the energy sector all of the energy stocks are down talking about energy stocks this is where I have my oxy trade I sold the 55 put expiring on Friday so all looking good here so far but if I'm getting assigned I'm not concerned about getting assigned in oxy I believe it's a solid company and again the Warren Buffett effect is real as you know Warren Buffett has increased the stake this is where many people are piling into companies like this but I've been trading it we have been trading it for quite a while right now if you want you can even pick up the 54 put here look at that the 54 put for 22 cents I mean I sold the 55 for 38 cents because I did a few days ago but here 49% annualized or if you want to go with the same strike that I have you can get a 36 cents oh I think I got 38 cents yeah I must say 38 what do you say 70 that was a different stock anyhow so this would give you 79% annualized if you would like to be in this trade with you so we have another two more days until expiration so if by Friday oxy trades below 55 I will get assigned and I will own oxy shares here in addition to my C.T.R.A. now you might be wondering okay aren't these kind of the same am I just too heavy in one industry and this is why we have here our asset correlation tool and if you look at the asset correlation tool yes oxy and C.T.R.A. are correlated but only with the correlation of 0.64 what does it mean that correlation of one they would move exactly the same for me personally am I trading plan I am accepting a correlation of 0.65 and below so I'm still okay here even though it is orange flag everything else as you can see not very correlated so I don't have too much exposure in one sector of one industry and the reason why C.T.R.A. and oxy are not that highly correlated is because C.T.R.A. has more exposure to natural gas than then oxy here so oxy more oil and C.T.R.A. oil and gas any oh so going back here what else is going on Google Google Google Google so doing good here again bringing down my my break even right now at 103.04 still $10 away from the current price so I can sell any calls right now so I am in this position I have been trying last week to sell or I have been selling the 87 put because I'm looking for an aggressive rescue mission for this one to bring down my cost basis to low to below 100 with the move higher yesterday I was able to close it out so right now I don't have any puts there I close it out at 90% of the max profits I'm still interested in selling puts at the 86 or 87 level so absolutely here but right now nothing to do so I need to wait and see what Google is doing Google today hanging in there just down half a percent and then there is P.N.C we traded P.N.C this is what is it the P.N.C financial services group before this banking crisis so I believe it is last Monday or last Tuesday and then on Thursday the news broke so breaking down here massively my cost basis at 141.50 my break even at 141.18 not to concern about this position but it has definitely moved dramatically lower so from the price where I got assigned which was 147 to the low that we made this morning 16% down that is really nothing that is concerning me I had the larger drops in other stocks like CTRA what was the one that I had for a long time the luxury goods maker please can remember because for me they're just symbols that I'm looking at here also Nvidia so I'm not concerned about this right now we're bouncing off the lows and as you can see there was a lot of volatility just in the last few days these moves here on Monday from the low to the high that we had yesterday and 11.6% move now with the whole credit Swiss debacle still moving lower but I'm pretty sure that very soon this week maybe not but maybe next week we can sell calls against our existing position here so this is what's going on again today if you like trading the wheel today is a fantastic day to really pick up a bunch of good stocks selling puts and then maybe even getting assigned so pick your poison here pretty much of what do you like as said you can trade oxy with me even CTRA I mean if you like the idea of Cotera energy CTRA so right now it is available at a 2250 strike which is well below the lows that this mate recently so that is possible as you can see lots going on here anyhow is this helpful at all as we are walking through this and I'm showing you some possible trades because if it is to be a favorite give us a like and also subscribe to the channel as you can see we're close to a hundred thousand subscribers so would like to see this okay let's see what is happening in the markets right now we're switching back to the S&P 500 and a five minute chart and we're still coming off the lows trading slightly higher than we open but still well below yesterday's closing price so the S&P down one point 3% the Dow getting hammer today down 1.4% NASTAC bouncing back here a little bit down 0.96% so almost 1% but as you can see everything here in the red so we will see how all of this shakes out where we will end the day can we actually rally is this all just overblown or will be negative and I do not believe that we have any more major reports coming out here this week well tomorrow unemployment claims it's definitely something that the Fed will keep an eye on but the big one will be next week the Fed meeting and right now all banks are on all eyes are on the finance sector and the banking sector this is what's moving the markets right now together with what will the Fed do next week so exciting times as you can see make sure to tune in again tomorrow and if you would like to know how we trade these crazy market here are a few videos for you check those out hit like hit subscribe and then we'll see you again tomorrow have a great rest of your day

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Form 8-K - Current report - Item 5.02 Item 9.01

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<div style="margin-bottom: 10px;">
                      <a href=https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/5272/000000527223000007/aig-20221231.htm>Download 10-K Annual Report</a>
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                      <a href=https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/5272/000000527223000007/0000005272-23-000007-index.htm>Original filing index</a>
                    </div>

XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION CALCULATION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION DEFINITION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION LABEL LINKBASE DOCUMENT

XBRL TAXONOMY EXTENSION PRESENTATION LINKBASE DOCUMENT

Form 10-K - Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405]

AIG & 2022 Form 10-K: Analyzing Performance and Forward-Looking View 
Current Analysis:
AIG has a strong presence in the insurance industry and their financials have shown a steady growth in the last few years. They have seen a substantial increase in revenue and income due to their strong focus on cost-saving opportunities and their ability to effectively implement changes under AIG 200. 

They have also been successful in their investment portfolios, as well as their strategic acquisitions and dispositions of businesses and assets. However, they face certain risks such as those related to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and their ability to adequately assess risk and estimate related losses.

Forward-Looking Analysis:
Looking towards the future, AIG will need to focus on their ability to retain and recruit key personnel, as well as their ability to effectively execute on environmental, social and governance targets and standards. Additionally, they will need to manage their exposure to risk and navigate changes in laws and regulations as well as changes to tax laws.

Announcement: AIG 10-K Annual Report

<p>Shares of Cisco Systems are popping more than 10% after the company beat on earnings and revenue, as well as raised guidance for the year. Bank of America Securities' Tal Liani explains the company's outlook. Plus, AIG had its strongest underwriting performance last year but saw a dip in net profit. Piper Sandler's Paul Newsome discusses the insurance space. And, despite a solid start to the year for stocks, are stormy skies on the horizon? Miller Tabak's Matt Maley and Aureus Asset Management's Karen Firestone weigh in.</p>

AIG 8-K Special Filing

AIG 8-K Special Filing

📈 Will Credit Suisse Crash The Markets?

📈 Will Credit Suisse Crash The Markets?

AIG 8-K Special Filing

AIG 8-K Special Filing

AIG 8-K Special Filing

AIG 8-K Special Filing

AIG 10-K Annual Report

AIG 10-K Annual Report

Cisco's Earnings Beat, AIG's Profit Drop, and the Outlook for Stocks 02/16/23

Cisco's Earnings Beat, AIG's Profit Drop, and the Outlook for Stocks 02/16/23